Valenciennes vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1981 |
MPL
0 - 0
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1981 |
VAL
4 - 0
LIL
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 1981 |
GIR
2 - 0
VAL
66%
20%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1981 |
VAL
0 - 1
LYO
45%
26%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 1981 |
NIC
1 - 2
VAL
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1981 |
BAS
3 - 3
ASN
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1981 |
AUX
2 - 2
BAS
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1981 |
BAS
3 - 1
BRE
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1981 |
NAN
1 - 0
BAS
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 0
LEN
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |