Valenciennes vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
CLE
2 - 0
VAL
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 2
NÎM
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 1
VAL
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
ETG
4 - 0
VAL
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 0
STL
44%
28%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 1
LEN
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
RED
1 - 1
AJA
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 2
AJA
12%
19%
69%
|
61 | 22 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 0
BOU
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
NIO
3 - 1
AJA
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |