Valenciennes vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ETG
0 - 1
VAL
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 1
REN
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
REI
3 - 1
VAL
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 2
SOC
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
PSG
3 - 0
VAL
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 2
GUI
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
NAN
2 - 2
AJA
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
AJA
2 - 3
LIL
18%
25%
58%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MPL
2 - 0
AJA
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LYO
3 - 1
AJA
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |