Valenciennes vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
BAS
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
GIR
2 - 1
VAL
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
LMU
0 - 2
VAL
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
LYO
19%
24%
57%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NIC
2 - 0
VAL
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BOU
3 - 2
AJA
18%
22%
61%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 1
AUX
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 3
AJA
33%
26%
42%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
SOC
0 - 2
AJA
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 0
REN
19%
26%
55%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |