Valencia Mestalla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
LEV
4 - 2
VAL
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1962 |
VAL
1 - 1
UDL
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
ELD
4 - 1
VAL
39%
24%
37%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1962 |
VAL
4 - 4
HER
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
CAD
3 - 1
VAL
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
RJA
2 - 0
MEL
83%
11%
6%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
SEV
1 - 1
RJA
43%
23%
34%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
RJA
3 - 0
SFE
67%
18%
15%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
RJA
3 - 0
ELD
78%
13%
9%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
MUR
2 - 1
RJA
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |