Valencia Mestalla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
CFC
2 - 1
VAL
54%
21%
25%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1961 |
VAL
0 - 1
HER
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
VAL
3 - 3
BUR
79%
13%
8%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1961 |
VAL
0 - 2
LEV
52%
23%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
MAL
3 - 1
VAL
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
RJA
6 - 2
CEU
61%
21%
17%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
SFE
2 - 1
RJA
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
RSO
3 - 0
RJA
71%
15%
14%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
VIL
0 - 2
RJA
39%
24%
37%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
RJA
2 - 1
UDL
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |