Valencia Mestalla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
CEU
1 - 0
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1960 |
VAL
2 - 1
PUL
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
SFE
0 - 0
VAL
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
CUL
2 - 2
VAL
67%
18%
15%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
VAL
3 - 0
MUR
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
RJA
1 - 0
CAS
83%
11%
6%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
RJA
3 - 1
MAL
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
PUL
11 - 0
RJA
59%
22%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
CON
2 - 0
RJA
24%
23%
53%
|
63 | 22 | 41 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
RJA
0 - 0
CDT
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |