Valencia Mestalla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
CDB
4 - 2
VAL
71%
17%
13%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
CDT
3 - 1
VAL
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
VAL
3 - 1
CAD
56%
21%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
RAY
4 - 1
VAL
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1959 |
VAL
1 - 0
CAA
65%
19%
16%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
RJA
2 - 1
CAD
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
RAY
2 - 1
RJA
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
RJA
7 - 1
CAA
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
MUR
3 - 1
RJA
56%
22%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
RJA
1 - 2
REC
77%
14%
9%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |