Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-4
Valencia Mestalla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.9%
13.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
CAT
1 - 1
VAL
62%
20%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1952 |
VAL
0 - 1
UDL
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
CPC
1 - 1
VAL
52%
22%
25%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1952 |
VAL
6 - 0
ATB
73%
15%
12%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
ALC
3 - 1
VAL
53%
22%
25%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
MLL
2 - 1
RJA
62%
19%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
RJA
5 - 2
PUL
68%
17%
15%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
RJA
3 - 1
BAL
63%
18%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
CAT
3 - 1
RJA
68%
17%
15%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
RJA
5 - 1
UDL
49%
22%
29%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +2 |