Valencia Mestalla vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
NUC
0 - 2
VAL
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
LEV
83%
13%
5%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 4
VAL
16%
24%
60%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VAL
3 - 2
TLL
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BOR
2 - 1
VAL
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
NOV
3 - 0
JUV
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
7 - 1
NOV
52%
23%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 0
PUÇ
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 2
NOV
56%
24%
21%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
4 - 1
VIJ
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |