Valencia Mestalla vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
GET
1 - 0
VAL
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
VAL
4 - 0
CDM
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
VAL
0 - 2
PEG
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
VIN
1 - 0
VAL
15%
24%
61%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
VAL
3 - 1
TCF
85%
10%
5%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
HER
1 - 0
ATB
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
ALI
2 - 2
HER
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
BUR
1 - 0
HER
33%
30%
38%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
HER
4 - 2
CEM
58%
24%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
CAS
0 - 1
HER
48%
28%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |