Valencia Mestalla vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LEV
2 - 0
VAL
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 0
SMR
28%
28%
45%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
REU
1 - 0
VAL
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 2
GIM
31%
29%
41%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BAD
2 - 1
VAL
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ELC
1 - 0
OLI
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ONT
0 - 0
ELC
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ELC
3 - 2
ATB
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HOS
3 - 1
ELC
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ELC
2 - 0
UES
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |