Valencia Mestalla vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1982 |
UDQ
0 - 4
VAL
29%
28%
42%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
VAL
1 - 0
OLI
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
DEN
2 - 0
VAL
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
VAL
2 - 1
PAT
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
ALG
2 - 1
VAL
42%
28%
30%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1982 |
ASP
1 - 0
VIN
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
ALC
3 - 1
ASP
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
ASP
1 - 0
GAN
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
ASP
4 - 1
UDQ
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
OLI
3 - 1
ASP
53%
25%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |