Valencia de Leogane vs Mirebalais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
26.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia de Leogane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
AME
5 - 2
VAL
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 0
VAL
44%
30%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAV
48%
30%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
RAC
0 - 0
VAL
49%
27%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
VAL
3 - 0
ASS
38%
30%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mirebalais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
ASM
2 - 1
ASS
39%
31%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 0
AIG
37%
30%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
AME
1 - 0
ASM
59%
25%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 0
CAP
44%
31%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
VIC
0 - 0
ASM
51%
28%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |