Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-2
Valencia vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.2%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
UPL
1 - 2
VCF
25%
26%
49%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
ELC
2 - 1
VCF
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
VCF
0 - 0
ZAR
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
ESP
2 - 0
VCF
41%
26%
33%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
VCF
1 - 2
ATM
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
UPL
1 - 2
VCF
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
UPL
0 - 1
CDC
58%
22%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
LLE
2 - 0
UPL
49%
24%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1966 |
DEP
4 - 0
UPL
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
UPL
0 - 0
BAD
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |