Valencia vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
VCF
3 - 0
POR
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 44 | 46 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
GET
0 - 3
VCF
39%
27%
35%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2008 |
VCF
1 - 1
FCK
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
VCF
2 - 4
RAC
67%
20%
13%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
POR
1 - 4
VCF
11%
21%
68%
|
90 | 44 | 46 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
SPO
2 - 0
NUM
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
RAC
1 - 0
SPO
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SPO
3 - 1
NUM
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
NUM
0 - 1
SPO
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
DEP
0 - 3
SPO
61%
23%
15%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |