Valencia vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
VCF
3 - 1
ATM
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1996 |
SLP
0 - 1
VCF
39%
27%
34%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
SEV
0 - 2
VCF
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
VCF
0 - 1
LOG
75%
16%
10%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
COM
0 - 3
VCF
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1996 |
SPO
1 - 1
SEV
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
LOG
0 - 2
SPO
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
SPO
1 - 1
COM
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
CDT
6 - 0
SPO
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
SPO
2 - 0
ZAR
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |