Valencia vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
VCF
1 - 0
FIG
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1986 |
MAL
0 - 1
VCF
43%
27%
29%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
LOG
2 - 0
VCF
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1986 |
VCF
5 - 1
REC
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
HER
0 - 0
VCF
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
RMC
1 - 2
CAS
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1986 |
FIG
3 - 1
RMC
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
FCB
1 - 0
RMC
58%
24%
17%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1986 |
RMC
0 - 0
MAL
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
RMC
2 - 0
SSC
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |