Valencia vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
FCB
1 - 1
VCF
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
VCF
4 - 1
UDL
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
SEV
0 - 1
VCF
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
VCF
3 - 1
GRA
81%
12%
7%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
OSA
2 - 2
VCF
50%
22%
28%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
RJA
1 - 0
SEV
31%
23%
45%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
GRA
2 - 0
RJA
46%
23%
31%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
OSA
5 - 1
RJA
66%
18%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
RJA
3 - 0
ZAR
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
ATM
4 - 1
RJA
84%
10%
7%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |