Valencia vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
8.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
RSO
0 - 3
VCF
48%
22%
30%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
VCF
4 - 1
ATM
65%
17%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
FCB
2 - 0
VCF
82%
11%
8%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
VCF
2 - 3
SEV
69%
17%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
DEP
1 - 1
VCF
33%
24%
43%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
RJA
3 - 2
CEL
50%
22%
28%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
SPO
2 - 1
RJA
66%
19%
16%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
RJA
4 - 2
VAD
45%
22%
32%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
ESP
1 - 2
RJA
80%
12%
8%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
RSO
2 - 1
RJA
75%
15%
11%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |