Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 1
VCF
23%
26%
51%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
RAY
1 - 2
VCF
35%
25%
40%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VCF
0 - 1
FCB
19%
22%
59%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LEV
2 - 1
VCF
26%
27%
47%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VCF
0 - 0
ATH
65%
20%
15%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
RAY
0 - 1
SEV
37%
24%
39%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
RAY
1 - 2
VCF
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 1
RAY
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
RAY
1 - 0
CEL
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
RMA
5 - 1
RAY
91%
7%
2%
|
83 | 98 | 15 | +1 |