Valencia vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
VCF
1 - 1
MLL
62%
20%
18%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
OSA
1 - 3
VCF
32%
27%
41%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
VCF
2 - 2
ALC
86%
11%
4%
|
91 | 60 | 31 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
VCF
3 - 1
ZAR
68%
19%
14%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
SLP
2 - 2
VCF
30%
26%
44%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
LIL
4 - 0
VAL
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
MPL
2 - 0
LIL
28%
28%
45%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
LIL
2 - 0
GIR
33%
26%
41%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
GEN
3 - 2
LIL
47%
25%
27%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 2
LIL
21%
27%
53%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |