UCL Qualifying Third Stage Final
Global 5-1
Valencia vs IF Elfsborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
PSG
3 - 0
VCF
37%
28%
35%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
INT
0 - 2
VCF
64%
22%
15%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
VCF
3 - 3
RSO
69%
20%
12%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
LEV
4 - 2
VCF
26%
28%
46%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
VCF
2 - 3
VIL
57%
24%
19%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2007 |
ELF
0 - 0
DVS
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
ELF
2 - 2
KAL
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2007 |
DVS
0 - 1
ELF
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
ELF
1 - 0
LIN
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
DJU
2 - 1
ELF
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |