Valencia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
DEP
1 - 1
VCF
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
VCF
4 - 1
OVI
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
CFC
0 - 1
VCF
34%
28%
37%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
VCF
2 - 0
CAS
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1987 |
FCB
2 - 2
VCF
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
HER
2 - 0
FIG
55%
26%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
MAL
1 - 2
HER
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
HER
3 - 0
LOG
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
REC
1 - 2
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1987 |
RMC
3 - 2
HER
53%
26%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |