Valencia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
HER
2 - 1
VCF
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
VCF
0 - 1
FCB
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1977 |
ATH
2 - 1
VCF
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
VCF
0 - 0
SLA
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
MAL
0 - 1
VCF
35%
29%
36%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
HER
2 - 1
VCF
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
ZAR
1 - 0
HER
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
HER
3 - 0
BUR
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
SEV
1 - 0
HER
54%
26%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
HER
2 - 1
ATM
34%
29%
37%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |