Valencia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
FCB
1 - 1
VCF
63%
18%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
VCF
2 - 2
OVI
70%
16%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
MUR
2 - 2
VCF
32%
25%
44%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
VCF
1 - 1
RMA
63%
18%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
VCF
1 - 2
ATH
63%
18%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
HER
0 - 0
ATH
23%
25%
52%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
ATM
5 - 2
HER
81%
12%
8%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
HER
1 - 0
ALC
42%
23%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
ESP
5 - 2
HER
68%
17%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
HER
2 - 1
SPO
34%
24%
43%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |