Valencia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
12.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
CAS
2 - 2
VCF
11%
15%
74%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
VCF
5 - 2
OVI
68%
17%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
SEV
4 - 1
VCF
61%
18%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
VCF
2 - 0
DEP
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
FCB
2 - 4
VCF
48%
22%
30%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
HER
1 - 2
RMA
32%
24%
45%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
CEL
4 - 1
HER
67%
16%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
HER
1 - 1
ESP
39%
23%
38%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
HER
2 - 2
ATM
34%
23%
43%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
CAS
4 - 0
HER
30%
22%
48%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |