Valencia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
18.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
ZAR
1 - 2
VCF
45%
21%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
VCF
4 - 1
SEV
50%
21%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1940 |
VCF
3 - 1
FCB
48%
21%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1940 |
ATH
5 - 0
VCF
78%
12%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1940 |
RMA
6 - 1
VCF
74%
14%
11%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
HER
1 - 3
FCB
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
ATH
4 - 0
HER
81%
11%
8%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1940 |
HER
0 - 3
RMA
33%
24%
43%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1940 |
MUR
0 - 0
HER
32%
24%
44%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1940 |
CEL
2 - 0
HER
54%
19%
27%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |