Valencia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
20.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
HER
2 - 1
VCF
56%
20%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
RSO
4 - 4
VCF
37%
21%
41%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1940 |
VCF
3 - 1
RSO
78%
13%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
UES
1 - 3
VCF
21%
20%
59%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
VCF
8 - 2
UES
85%
10%
5%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
HER
2 - 1
VCF
56%
20%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
ATH
0 - 0
HER
84%
10%
6%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1940 |
HER
5 - 2
ATH
34%
22%
45%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
HER
2 - 0
MAL
77%
14%
10%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
MAL
2 - 1
HER
35%
23%
42%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | -1 |