Valencia vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
VCF
2 - 3
RMA
21%
22%
57%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LEV
0 - 2
VCF
27%
26%
47%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
VCF
3 - 1
LEV
56%
22%
22%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
VCF
3 - 1
GET
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
ZAR
0 - 1
VCF
30%
26%
44%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GNK
3 - 0
KVC
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GNK
2 - 2
KVK
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
GNK
1 - 1
CHL
16%
23%
61%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BRU
4 - 5
GNK
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
GNK
0 - 2
LIE
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | -1 |