Valencia vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.7%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.3%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.2%
2.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
BET
1 - 1
VCF
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
SFE
1 - 0
VCF
22%
23%
55%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
VCF
0 - 1
RSO
66%
20%
15%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1977 |
MIR
2 - 4
VCF
23%
24%
52%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
VCF
3 - 1
ATH
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
SFE
4 - 1
MEL
80%
15%
6%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
SFE
1 - 0
VCF
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
SFE
1 - 0
DBN
86%
11%
3%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1977 |
SFE
1 - 0
OSA
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
MON
1 - 1
SFE
25%
23%
53%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |