Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-6
Valencia vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
VCF
2 - 1
LEG
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
RSO
3 - 2
VCF
47%
26%
28%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
VCF
2 - 2
MAL
58%
23%
20%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
LEG
1 - 3
VCF
19%
24%
58%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SEV
2 - 1
VCF
48%
24%
28%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 0
UCA
83%
13%
4%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2016 |
ATH
2 - 1
CEL
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 3
SEV
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
PAN
0 - 2
CEL
26%
24%
50%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BET
3 - 3
CEL
36%
27%
37%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |