Valencia vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
59.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LEV
2 - 1
VCF
26%
27%
47%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VCF
0 - 0
ATH
65%
20%
15%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 3
VCF
42%
26%
33%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
VCF
3 - 1
ELC
78%
14%
7%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 0
VCF
24%
26%
49%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
APO
0 - 4
FCB
7%
15%
79%
|
97 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
FCB
5 - 1
SEV
84%
11%
5%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 2
FCB
8%
17%
76%
|
97 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
AJA
0 - 2
FCB
11%
18%
71%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
FCB
0 - 1
CEL
89%
8%
3%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | +1 |