Europa League Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-7
Valencia vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
HUE
2 - 6
VCF
19%
24%
57%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
ARS
3 - 1
VCF
44%
26%
31%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
VCF
0 - 1
EIB
60%
22%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
ATM
3 - 2
VCF
49%
26%
25%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
BET
1 - 2
VCF
36%
26%
38%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
ARS
1 - 1
BHA
76%
16%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
ARS
3 - 1
VCF
44%
26%
31%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LEI
3 - 0
ARS
31%
25%
45%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
WOL
3 - 1
ARS
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
ARS
2 - 3
CRY
69%
19%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |