Valence vs Sud Nivernais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
5.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
SAI
0 - 2
VAL
15%
22%
64%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
PON
79%
15%
6%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
VEN
1 - 1
VAL
15%
22%
63%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 0
FSM
84%
12%
5%
|
56 | 10 | 46 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
VAL
3 - 3
LPV
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Sud Nivernais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
SUD
3 - 0
FSM
73%
18%
10%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
SUD
2 - 0
LPV
23%
24%
54%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +3 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
GFO
1 - 1
SUD
72%
18%
10%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
SUD
79%
15%
6%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
SUD
0 - 3
AND
18%
25%
57%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | -1 |