Valence vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
PER
1 - 3
VAL
47%
29%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
VAL
0 - 1
SPO
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
FCG
3 - 1
VAL
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
VAL
0 - 0
TFC
40%
29%
32%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
VAL
0 - 1
NIC
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
SPI
0 - 1
CHA
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
CSL
0 - 1
SPI
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
SPI
1 - 1
RED
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
FCM
3 - 1
SPI
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
SPI
0 - 0
TRO
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |