Valence vs Metz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SOC
1 - 1
VAL
30%
26%
45%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 2
VIL
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
JUR
1 - 1
VAL
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CHA
5 - 0
VAL
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 1
SAI
79%
15%
7%
|
57 | 29 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MET
1 - 1
OLY
39%
25%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
MET
4 - 1
MOA
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
RED
0 - 0
MET
45%
29%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
MET
3 - 0
NOI
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
AUB
2 - 3
MET
42%
26%
31%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |