Valence vs FC Gueugnon II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
MON
1 - 2
VAL
29%
26%
44%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 1
AND
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CLE
2 - 2
VAL
19%
23%
58%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 0
FEU
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
THI
1 - 0
VAL
17%
23%
60%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
GUE
0 - 3
VEN
42%
26%
32%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
FSM
1 - 5
GUE
17%
23%
60%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
GUE
0 - 1
ASO
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
LPV
1 - 1
GUE
72%
18%
11%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
GUE
0 - 1
GFO
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |