Valence vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
RED
1 - 0
VAL
62%
23%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1995 |
VAL
0 - 2
MAR
13%
24%
64%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
POI
0 - 0
VAL
45%
27%
27%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
VAL
0 - 0
ASN
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1995 |
DUN
1 - 0
VAL
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
NIO
0 - 0
CHA
35%
30%
35%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1995 |
NIO
2 - 3
RED
30%
29%
41%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
MAR
2 - 1
NIO
82%
14%
5%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
NIO
0 - 0
POI
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1995 |
OLY
0 - 1
NIO
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |