Valence U17 vs Castelnau Le Crès U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
61.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
12º
8º
33
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
6º
|
70.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 32 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 29 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
79.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
NIC
4 - 0
VAL
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 2
SPR
53%
21%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 2
VAL
41%
22%
37%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 2
MON
16%
19%
66%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 0
VAL
31%
21%
48%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Castelnau Le Crès U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
STN
0 - 0
CAS
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NIC
6 - 1
CAS
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
SPR
80%
12%
7%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 1
CAS
20%
20%
60%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 3
MON
49%
21%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |