Valenças vs Estremoz CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
22.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenças
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
POR
4 - 0
VAL
81%
13%
7%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
OUT
1 - 3
VAL
71%
17%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VAL
4 - 1
SCA
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
FCO
0 - 2
VAL
40%
23%
37%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 3
CAN
14%
19%
67%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Estremoz CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
EST
1 - 2
OUT
30%
23%
46%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SCA
0 - 4
EST
33%
23%
44%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
FCO
65%
19%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CAN
4 - 2
EST
83%
12%
6%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
COR
37%
23%
39%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |