Vale of Leithen vs Gretna 2008 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
72.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vale of Leithen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BFC
3 - 0
VAL
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
THE
1 - 0
VAL
90%
7%
3%
|
11 | 49 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 4
CUM
11%
16%
73%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
CBF
9 - 0
VAL
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BAN
6 - 1
VAL
79%
13%
9%
|
12 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BER
1 - 1
GRE
64%
19%
18%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
STI
2 - 0
GRE
70%
17%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
DAL
2 - 2
GRE
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
KHE
7 - 0
GRE
88%
9%
3%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 0
BER
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |