Vale of Leithen vs Girvan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vale of Leithen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CIV
0 - 5
VAL
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
VAL
4 - 0
SEL
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 4
SPA
20%
22%
59%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 0
LOT
30%
24%
45%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +3 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
PRE
56%
22%
23%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Girvan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
STR
4 - 2
GIR
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2010 |
GIR
4 - 0
GOL
57%
21%
22%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
GOL
2 - 2
GIR
34%
24%
43%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
GIR
2 - 1
HUN
22%
22%
57%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +3 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
HUN
2 - 2
GIR
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |