CP Valdivia vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+444%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Valdivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
VAL
32%
27%
42%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MON
0 - 0
VAL
26%
27%
48%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 0
EMD
48%
24%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GIM
1 - 2
VAL
13%
23%
64%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 0
CPR
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
UDF
5 - 1
MON
26%
22%
52%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
EMD
2 - 0
UDF
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
UDF
3 - 2
GUA
61%
20%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
UDF
3 - 2
GIM
63%
20%
18%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CPR
4 - 1
UDF
21%
22%
58%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |