Valdinievole Montecatini vs Sangiovannese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdinievole Montecatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SCA
3 - 1
VMO
24%
22%
54%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
VMO
0 - 1
GHI
52%
22%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
VMO
3 - 0
SAN
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MAS
1 - 1
VMO
37%
23%
39%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
VMO
2 - 1
CAS
61%
20%
20%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sangiovannese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ACS
0 - 0
VFC
48%
26%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
MPO
0 - 1
ACS
47%
26%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SSD
2 - 3
ACS
45%
26%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ACS
1 - 1
JMO
36%
25%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FCV
0 - 0
ACS
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |