Valdesoto vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdesoto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
COL
1 - 0
VAL
64%
20%
16%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
VAL
2 - 1
HIS
44%
24%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
VAL
3 - 2
SAL
61%
21%
18%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
TAP
1 - 0
VAL
74%
17%
10%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
VAL
3 - 0
ATL
37%
24%
39%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
COM
2 - 2
NAR
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
NAR
2 - 2
COL
49%
24%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
NAR
2 - 0
HIS
58%
22%
21%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 2
NAR
24%
24%
52%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
NAR
2 - 2
TAP
23%
23%
54%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |