Valdefierro vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
47.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdefierro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CFV
0 - 1
BAN
35%
24%
41%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CDA
2 - 1
CFV
47%
23%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CFV
3 - 2
ADT
32%
25%
43%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAD
2 - 2
CFV
67%
19%
15%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CFV
1 - 1
ALC
36%
23%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
UDM
4 - 1
CDA
53%
21%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ADT
0 - 0
UDM
54%
21%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
UDM
0 - 3
SAD
47%
22%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ALC
0 - 0
UDM
33%
23%
44%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UDM
0 - 3
SIE
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |