Valdefierro vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdefierro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 0
CFV
41%
26%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CFV
1 - 1
CDC
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 1
CFV
10%
20%
71%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CFV
5 - 0
CEL
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BUJ
1 - 4
CFV
19%
23%
58%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
UDM
0 - 4
FRA
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SFE
0 - 2
UDM
26%
24%
51%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
UDM
0 - 3
QUI
35%
25%
40%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
AND
1 - 0
UDM
64%
20%
17%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
UDM
2 - 3
ACF
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |