Valdecaballeros A vs Siruela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
64%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdecaballeros A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
CAB
2 - 1
VAL
88%
9%
4%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 5
ELA
43%
24%
33%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
4 - 0
VAL
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 1
SBA
8%
17%
76%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
VAL
52%
20%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Siruela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SIR
3 - 0
CDT
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SIR
2 - 1
MON
57%
19%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAB
0 - 1
SIR
81%
12%
7%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SIR
3 - 2
ELA
54%
21%
25%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
SIR
77%
13%
10%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |