Valceresio Audax vs Insubria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valceresio Audax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 3
VAL
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 1
GOR
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 1
VAL
23%
22%
55%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 1
BOR
87%
10%
4%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BES
1 - 0
VAL
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Insubria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
INS
1 - 3
AMI
11%
17%
71%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ANT
3 - 1
INS
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
INS
1 - 1
RAS
45%
23%
33%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
INS
0 - 2
MOR
11%
17%
72%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GOR
4 - 0
INS
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |